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[rjm]

Here are 2 must watch presentations from the recent ASPO 2012 conference.

The first is a forecast of oil production. Despite what you hear from mainstream media about abundant shale oil and tar sands, it is probable that total world production of oil will drop by about 50% within 10 years.

My conclusions from this are that since GDP is proportional to energy consumption we can expect world GDP to be at least 50% lower within 10 years. The price of all paper assets (stocks, bonds, cash, etc.) are dependent on future GDP growth, therefore we can expect the value of most paper assets to decline by 50-90% over the next 10 years. Note that I think these dire predictions are on the optimistic side since a 50% reduction in oil is the best we can achieve given geology, however reality may prove to be much worse if credit, currencies, trade, and social cohesion collapse.

On the Verge of an Energy Transition - James Buckee
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wO8URwP5tiA

The second presentation is by Nate Hagens who I think has the best big picture understanding of our predicament of anyone on the planet. He explains where we are, why we got here, where we are likely going, and what we need to do.

Navigating through a Room full of Elephants - Nate Hagens
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n4x_CUumdKs

[KingSparta]

Lets See

1. Canned Food\MRE's
2. Batteries (Rechargeable)
3. Solar Panels
4. Batteries For Solar Panels
5. AC Converter
6. Battery Operated Fan
7. Wood Burning Stove
8. Tent
9. Battery Operated Radio
10. Gun - 2 Each (Pistol, And One Rifle)
11. Ammo - 10,000 Rounds

[KingSparta]

Correction 50,000 Rounds

[JimH]

Matches
Water filter
Mouse traps
Sewing needles and thread
Band aids
Axe
Sharpening stone
Aspirin
Large ball of twine
Trade goods (iPad, etc.)

[KingSparta]

I don't have an Axe, But I Have A 24 Inch Machete

I don't Have A Water Filter, But Been Thinking About Getting One. I was thinking about boiling the water to kill the germs. I do have 2 each army 5 gallon water cans (about $39.00 each) I keep full of water in case the power goes out and can use it to add to the toilet to allow for flushing.

Good Idea about the mouse traps, that could be another protein source (I do have 10 or 20 new snap traps already).

Not sure I would need an Ipod.

the rest I have in my survival kit. that is in 12 containers 1 1\2 feet by 32 inches (approx), not including a army arctic tent (sleeps about 8 people).

[AoXoMoXoA]

one cyanide capsule between cheek and gum

[rjm]

friends
family
modest size lot with good soil and water and low taxes - woodlot would be superb
very small well insulated house
walking/biking distance to critical services
cache of rice, beans, and canned fish for periodic grocery store outages
extra pairs of good walking shoes
liquid fuel cooking stove
liquid fuel space heater
cache of liquid fuel
spare hard drives
big stockpile of coffee, tea, cheap vodka, and cigarettes for trading
cache of small denomination cash
modest expectations

[KingSparta]

rjm

take it worse case, there will be no food, no gas, no AC, No hospital, No Walmart, What? No Walmart!, Nope.

you will not need hard drives, there is no Internet, No phone company, No cable, No Power, No direct TV, No cell phone.

everyone will be coming to your house, and if you talk softly, they will sucker punch you and take what you got.

a bike is a good idea! (I have two)

Cheep vodka can be used as fuel also.

[rjm]

I'm expecting to operate without a reliable and/or affordable internet. Would like a decade or 2 before I die to enjoy my movies and music, hence the spare hard drives since they are guaranteed to fail.

[KingSparta]

I picture Our future like the movie "Don't Open The Window"

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NpjM4DPL2Mw

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uHAgjmN3TzI

I may be dead before that happens (I'm Not A Spring Roster).

[rjm]

Question Everything (George Mobus) - What Am I Watching?

http://questioneverything.typepad.com/question_everything/2012/07/what-am-i-watching.html