And that's not who she is for, her job is to get the ones that think McCain is too soft, those same ones, who last time around made a decisive difference.
A round about way of doing things if you will but what to do, the man is just not strong enough in some areas
I'm intentionally staying out of this one in general.
However, I do feel I should address this one point, because the talking bobbleheads on TV aren't really addressing it at all (of course, it is in their best interest to keep the story alive and keep the election "close"). Palin was absolutely picked to try to appeal to the so-called "disaffected" Clinton supporters. The pick certainly did have the dual-purpose of solidifying the conservative base as well, but that could have been achieved in many other ways that wouldn't have gutted the long-running experience talking point (and, sorry, being close to Siberia doesn't count for foreign policy experience any more than having Mt. McKinley qualifies as Space Exploration experience). It is blatantly transparent... McCain wanted Lieberman. The base threatened to revolt, so he couldn't have him. He hates Romney, so he wouldn't pick him. After Thursday, he needed to make a big gesture, which Pawlenty certainly wouldn't do, so he reacted. Could have been worse, really.
The obvious, and necessary, point was to try to attract disaffected Democrats and Independent women (big I). The reason is blatantly simple. Party affiliation numbers are not the same as they were for the past 4 presidential election cycles (and more, really), so comparing to what "worked last time" isn't relevant. The country has swung fairly hard to the left.
Despite small (but significant) gains in August, Republican affiliation is WAY down and Dem and Independent affiliation is way up (Dems have a 5.7% advantage right now, not counting Dem leaning Independents). As we stand right now... McCain HAS TO solidify his base, AND steal a significant proportion of the Independent/Democratic vote, or he loses. If Obama simply solidifies his base and coasts to a stalemate with Independents, he wins. Period. (That simplifies things somewhat because it ignores the state-by-state math, but that situation
only makes things worse for McCain.)
So, you're right. McCain has fires on two fronts, his base still isn't really solid (Paul's separate rally doesn't look good, but the real problem is all those people still voting for Huckabee in the primaries after he had already quit and McCain had already won). He has to keep all those evangelicals with the same high turnout numbers Bush inspired in 2004, and then also manage to steal at least 6% of the current Dem/Ind voters. Palin was clearly aimed at these two dual (and somewhat opposing) goals.
It
could work. I'm with Jim though. In the end, it probably won't. It is nearly impossible to run against the popularity figures the current administration has now in the best of times, and we are really far from the best of times. And then, to top it all off, you have to run against Obama. I don't think
anyone really, truly relishes the idea of running against that man right now, despite what the talking points say.